How very sad!
Eight actual or potential conflict situations around the world deteriorated in May 2008, and four improved, according to the new issue of CrisisWatch.
Guinea: President Conté 20 May sacked Feb 2007 peace deal PM Kouyaté, after months-long efforts to marginalise rival: prompted protests in Conakry and Kouroussa. Conté ally ex-minister Souaré appointed PM. Military wage protests started 26 May, spread to 3 major camps; 2 reported killed, 101 injured. Conté reportedly in hiding, though tensions eased 31 May following payments to soldiers ahead of meeting 1 June.
India (non-Kashmir): At least 61 killed, hundreds injured in 8 Jaipur bomb blasts 13 May. Little-known militant group Indian Mujahideen claimed responsibility; police said suspected Bangladeshi group Harkatul Jihad-al Islami. Police killed 6 Maoist rebels in Bihar state 15 May, 11 members of regional militant group in Assam state 15 May; 11 railway workers killed there by same group 16 May.
Macedonia: Violence flared ahead of and during 1 June parliamentary elections in with clashes between ruling and opposition Albanian parties, leaving two dead. Several attacks on opposition DUI offices and members, a reported assassination attempt on its leader, and fatal stabbing of a member of the ruling DPA marred the pre-election period.
Mali: Several Tuareg rebel (ATNMC) attacks dealt critical blow to Apr ceasefire: army claimed 9 rebels, 1 soldier killed in ATMNC assault on military convoy en route to Tessalit 3 May; 1 soldier killed in 6 May twin attacks on army camps near Bamako; major clashes at north east army base 21 May killed 15 soldiers, 17 rebels - UNSG Ban Ki-moon said situation urgent.
Myanmar/Burma: Massive cyclone struck Yangon city and Irrawaddy Delta 2 May. Latest official death toll 78,000, 2.4m at risk. Govt initially refused aid workers entry stating 9 May preferred “relief in cash and kind” prompting international outcry; govt deported Qatari rescue team 8 May and impounded 2 UN food aid shipments at Yangon airport 9 May. Govt claimed entry constraints relaxed
South Africa: Brutal xenophobic violence against immigrants, mostly from Zimbabwe, Mozambique, erupted Alexandra township 11 May. Attacks spread in, around Johannesburg, Cape Town - eventually 7 of 9 SA provinces. Over 60 reported killed; some burnt alive. Number of displaced uncertain: reports of 70,000 fleeing, 33,000 to neighbouring states. Mozambique, Malawi evacuated citizens;
Sudan: 2 major assaults further strained North-South relations and fragile situation in Darfur. Heavy fighting began 14 May in oil-rich Abyei between Sudanese govt (GoS) and southern Sudan troops (SPLA): at least 21 killed, up to 100,000 displaced. 23 killed - including South Sudan defence minister, presidential adviser - in 2 May plane crash near Rumbek; Kiir cited engine failure. Darfur rebel group JEM attacked Khartoum 10-11 May in first attempt on capital for 30 years;
Zimbabwe: Organised state violence and oppression further increased following the election commission’s long-delayed 2 May announcement of the results of the 29 March presidential elections. The narrow victory for MDC leader Tsvangirai requires a run-off, now set for 27 June, with further violence feared in the lead-up.
Unchanged Situations
Afghanistan, Albania, Algeria, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Basque Country (Spain), Belarus, Bolivia, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Chad, Chechnya (Russia), China (internal), Colombia, Comoros Islands, Côte d’Ivoire, Democratic Republic of Congo, Ecuador, Egypt, Ethiopia/Eritrea, Ethiopia, Guinea-Bissau, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Israel/Occupied Territories, Kashmir, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Kosovo, Kyrgyzstan, Liberia, Mauritania, Moldova, Morocco, Nagorno-Karabakh (Azerbaijan), Niger, Nigeria, North Caucasus (non-Chechnya), North Korea, Pakistan, Philippines, Rwanda, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Serbia, Sierra Leone, Somaliland (Somalia), Sudan, Tajikistan, Thailand, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan, Venezuela, Western Sahara
Conflict Risk Alerts: Zimbabwe
Improved situations: Lebanon, Nepal, Syria and the Taiwan Strait.
Conflict Resolution Opportunities: None
End of Bulletin:
Source for this message:
CrisisWatch bulletin from the International Crisis Group
http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?id=5461